Bruins host Beavers in Pac-10 tussle

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

03/05/2009 - Los Angeles, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 20th-ranked UCLA Bruins are clearly favored in tonight's Pac-10 Conference clash with the visiting Oregon State Beavers.

Oregon State got hot recently, ripping off three consecutive wins. Unfortunately, that streak came to an end on Sunday, as the Beavers fell to rival Oregon in a 79-69 final on the road. They are now 4-7 in true road games and are facing a UCLA team that has won 14 of its 16 home games.

The Bruins are coming off back-to-back road victories, including a 72-68 decision over California on Saturday. While a Pac-10 title may not be in the cards, UCLA's 22-7 record is going to be more than enough to put the squad in the "Big Dance".

UCLA pounded Oregon State in a 69-46 final back on January 2nd, and the Bruins own a commanding 83-34 advantage in the all-time series between the two teams.

There is only one double-digit scorer on the Oregon State roster, as Calvin Haynes leads the team with his 15.5 ppg. Because of a lack of adequate offensive support, the Beavers are only generating 60.2 ppg this season. Fortunately, they are limiting opponents to 62.3 ppg, the most obvious reason that they are just one game below the .500 mark. In the 10-point road loss to Oregon last time out, Haynes tallied 16 points off the bench. Seth Tarver added 14 points, and Roeland Schaftenaar posted 13 points and six assists. The Beavers shot 50.1 percent from the floor, but they were outscored 26-10 from the foul line and outrebounded by a 29-23 margin.

Darren Collison has been tremendous for UCLA this season as expected. The veteran point guard is scoring 15.0 ppg on 53.3 percent shooting from the floor, including 41.9 percent from three-point range. Collison, a 91.8 percent shooter from the charity stripe, has dished out 144 assists to go along with 47 steals. Josh Shipp provides 13.4 ppg for the Bruins, who are getting 10.1 ppg and 6.0 rpg from Alfred Aboya. UCLA is generating 76.4 ppg while limiting foes to 63.7 ppg, and the fact that the Bruins are shooting 50.1 percent from the floor is astonishing. In the victory over California on Saturday, Collison racked up 22 points and six assists, as his Bruins finished with 19 assists against only six turnovers. Ship, Aboya and Nikola Dragovic all scored 12 points in the triumph.

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College Football Betting Tips From a Pro

While the NFL is the sport wagered on the heaviest, college football betting lines has become more and more popular as people realize it’s a game that can be beat. The NCAA football season gets longer each year with the addition of numerous bowl games and with that comes more opportunities for more money in your pocket, if handled correctly.

Betting on college football is not the same as with the NFL, so make sure you separate the two. Because of the vast number of teams, the parity between college football programs is slight and thus, you are going to see some high numbers in the NCAA. Teams favored by more than 40 points are not uncommon especially early in the season when teams playing their non-conference schedules.

The best advice when trying to tackle these enormous spreads and is to just stay away. A team that is favored by 40 points is favored by that many for a reason while teams getting 40 points are bad enough that they shouldn’t be touched. Set yourself a spread limit. Getting rid of these games will cut down on the number of contests that you need to handicap while staying away from backdoor or front-door covers.

What is a backdoor and front-door cover you ask? A backdoor cover is a team that is getting beat by more than the spread, but scores late to get within that number thus covering the spread. A front-door cover is just the opposite where the favorite scores late and covers the number they are favored by.

These front-door and backdoor covers are common when second and third string players enter games in college football and it can be the worst nightmare for some bettors. These players can also be your best friend, but ask any bettor and he will give you more instances on losing in this situation than winning. It just seems to work out that way even though everything evens out in the end.

College football betting has some of the softest lines of any sport and it’s being able to find these lines that will make you a successful college football handicapper. The NFL and NBA have the tightest lines around and while those sports can be beat by looking at situations and systems, college football doesn’t quite work that way. It’s much more manual, but when done correctly, it’s much more gratifying as well.

Getting into the nuts and bolts of college football means looking at the many stats in order to beat the number. As opposed to pro football, college football is less dependent on situations and angles and more on certain statistics. Rushing offense and defense, pass efficiency offense and defense and turnover margins are huge. These are vital in the NFL, but even more so when it comes to college football.

Being able to run the ball in college football has always been a key factor in the overall success of a team. The same adage also goes for teams who have the ability to stop the run. Putting these two factors together can produce some positive results in a team’s record both straight up and against the spread. These numbers show huge differences in teams and the spread may not take those into effect, which is where the value comes into play.

Passing yardage numbers both for and against can be a misinterpreted statistic. However, pass efficiency has always been one of the best ways to look at a teams’ passing game ability both offensively and defensively. But is it really a true indication of how they perform? I wouldn’t say so since they are raw passing numbers with nothing else taken into consideration.

I use pass efficiency ratings when doing my handicapping but I adjust my numbers based on a number of factors including power ratings, strength of schedules, personnel and injuries. This gives a much better picture of a team’s ability to pass effectively and also being able to defend the pass. Tweaking pass efficiency stats instead of raw passing yards is the key.

Turnovers are the single most frustrating, and at times the most gratifying, aspect of a college football lines, mostly because they are so unpredictable. They are part of the game and most of the time nothing can be done to control them. However, turnovers are contagious and they can carry over from game to game and season to season.

It’s important to know how to forecast these unforeseen events and how to use them to your advantage. You can find ways to give yourself an edge by looking at past histories of teams and coaches and how they have fared in turnover wars in the past. Instead of turnovers hurting you at the wrong times, find ways to use them to your advantage.

As you can see, college football handicapping is very labor intensive and isn’t just based on where teams are ranked in the AP and coaches polls. Experience, coaching and match-ups are all important since unlike the NFL, college teams turn over much more often with new personnel at most positions every single year. Keeping current on this information is vital.

Betting NCAA football can be lucrative if done correctly, but more importantly, it’s just plain enjoyable because it can be beat. College football is one of the best sports to watch with some of the best rivalries taking place in all of sports. The only downfall is that a championship isn’t decided on the field but on a computer-based system that is the Bowl Championship Series. That will change someday and we will all be better off for it.

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